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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+0.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+1.12vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+1.29vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.22+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.66-1.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-2.04vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.51+0.10vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.96-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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2.92Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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4.12Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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9.1Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.13Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 34.0% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 25.4% | 23.9% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 12.8% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 3.1% |
| Steven Honig | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 36.7% | 26.4% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 19.8% | 62.7% |
| Philip Koch | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.