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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jackson McCoy 27.4% 22.2% 16.2% 15.0% 10.2% 4.9% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 7.0% 7.2% 10.7% 11.0% 13.8% 15.9% 15.4% 11.4% 6.2% 1.4%
Philip Koch 7.1% 8.7% 10.9% 11.0% 13.6% 16.7% 14.1% 12.1% 5.0% 0.8%
Joseph Chamberlin 3.5% 4.8% 8.0% 9.4% 11.4% 11.6% 18.2% 18.0% 12.3% 2.8%
Trevor Long 31.6% 25.5% 19.2% 11.4% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 6.3% 7.2% 7.9% 10.0% 12.5% 13.6% 14.2% 16.4% 9.6% 2.3%
Bennett Capozzi 10.4% 16.9% 15.1% 18.2% 15.8% 9.9% 8.4% 3.2% 1.9% 0.2%
Sarah Caso 4.8% 5.5% 8.4% 9.1% 11.2% 15.7% 15.2% 15.7% 11.5% 2.9%
Benjamin Shaiman 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 3.8% 7.7% 17.2% 63.1%
Steven Honig 1.2% 1.0% 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 6.0% 7.0% 13.2% 35.9% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.