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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.92vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+3.31vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.96+2.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.66-0.31vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.49-2.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-2.08vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.51+0.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.22-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.18Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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2.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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4.04Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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9.08Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 27.4% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Philip Koch | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Long | 31.6% | 25.5% | 19.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 10.4% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 17.2% | 63.1% |
| Steven Honig | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 35.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.