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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.92vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+3.33vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49+0.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+0.88vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.96-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.66-1.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.22-0.76vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.51-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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5.33Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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2.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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4.07Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.04Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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9.1Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 27.1% | 22.7% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.8% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 29.6% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 11.1% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Caso | 5.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Philip Koch | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 3.2% |
| Steven Honig | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 35.3% | 27.8% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 20.4% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.