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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+8.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+6.03vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+6.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+6.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+3.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+1.78vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.49+3.03vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.57vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.21vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.36+0.83vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+0.75vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.90-4.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-4.01vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.58-5.25vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-5.04vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.37vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.54-3.83vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut2.59-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.01Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.03Boston College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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9.22Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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10.75Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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11.96Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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15.17Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| John Stokes | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 25.5% |
| John Giuliano | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.