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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.66+2.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+1.29vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49-0.99vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.96-0.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.93vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.22-0.79vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.51-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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2.96Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.78University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.01Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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9.11Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 33.4% | 25.3% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 24.5% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 0.7% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Philip Koch | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 3.0% |
| Steven Honig | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 34.9% | 27.6% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 19.3% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.