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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.57vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+3.11vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.66+1.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+0.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.49-1.96vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14-4.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-2.11vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.22-0.79vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.51-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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5.11Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.04Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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2.95Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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9.12Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 34.1% | 24.8% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 13.3% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 22.4% | 24.0% | 20.7% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Steven Honig | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 34.2% | 27.7% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 18.8% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.