← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Trevor Long 34.1% 24.8% 16.0% 10.9% 7.6% 3.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Koch 8.0% 7.6% 11.5% 13.2% 13.7% 15.0% 13.1% 11.7% 5.4% 0.8%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.1% 5.6% 7.1% 7.6% 10.2% 13.7% 15.7% 19.1% 13.9% 3.0%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 5.0% 5.8% 9.1% 11.2% 12.8% 14.6% 15.9% 14.9% 9.1% 1.6%
Janel DeCurtis 7.2% 9.3% 9.3% 11.3% 13.6% 14.9% 15.6% 11.7% 5.7% 1.4%
Bennett Capozzi 13.3% 13.7% 16.5% 15.9% 14.8% 11.5% 9.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Jackson McCoy 22.4% 24.0% 20.7% 15.3% 9.4% 4.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Caso 4.4% 6.8% 7.2% 10.1% 11.8% 14.2% 15.2% 16.9% 11.2% 2.2%
Steven Honig 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 3.0% 3.9% 5.6% 7.5% 13.6% 34.2% 27.7%
Benjamin Shaiman 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.2% 6.8% 18.8% 63.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.