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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+2.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14-0.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+1.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+0.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.96-0.95vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.66-2.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.22-0.79vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.51-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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4.11Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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2.95Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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9.12Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 33.8% | 25.7% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 12.3% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 23.2% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 2.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Philip Koch | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 3.3% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Steven Honig | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 35.8% | 27.3% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 19.6% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.