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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Conner Killham 12.6% 17.9% 20.3% 20.2% 16.8% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Roberts 18.8% 22.3% 21.7% 17.8% 11.3% 6.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Katsis 5.3% 7.9% 9.6% 14.3% 18.2% 17.3% 15.5% 8.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Carter Cameron 45.8% 28.1% 15.4% 7.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Elliott 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 3.2% 4.5% 8.6% 13.5% 19.6% 22.9% 23.0%
Clifford Gilman 2.7% 4.1% 6.9% 8.4% 11.2% 17.9% 19.1% 14.7% 9.8% 4.0% 1.2%
Elijah Jones 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 5.2% 9.5% 14.5% 18.9% 17.1% 15.1% 7.3% 2.7%
Taylor Wood 0.5% 1.3% 0.6% 1.0% 2.2% 5.2% 6.2% 13.2% 18.0% 24.2% 27.6%
Mackey Leventis 9.5% 12.5% 17.0% 18.4% 17.9% 13.6% 7.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Erica Trotter 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.7% 6.4% 9.7% 13.9% 23.8% 38.1%
Matthew Art 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 3.8% 5.3% 9.4% 13.6% 18.8% 20.2% 16.7% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.