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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Roberts 16.3% 21.5% 24.4% 18.8% 11.6% 5.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Killham 12.6% 18.7% 19.6% 20.3% 14.3% 9.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifford Gilman 2.0% 5.0% 4.5% 7.9% 10.8% 18.2% 22.4% 15.7% 9.2% 3.8% 0.5%
Mackey Leventis 8.4% 11.7% 16.0% 20.4% 19.7% 12.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Elijah Jones 2.8% 2.3% 3.8% 6.1% 8.5% 14.2% 17.7% 19.0% 15.4% 7.7% 2.5%
Matthew Art 0.6% 2.1% 1.3% 3.5% 5.1% 8.2% 13.3% 20.3% 18.4% 17.3% 9.9%
Carter Cameron 50.8% 27.0% 14.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Elliott 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 5.9% 9.0% 15.8% 20.0% 22.6% 19.0%
Taylor Wood 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 2.9% 3.9% 6.7% 10.4% 17.5% 26.1% 28.9%
Erica Trotter 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.5% 2.7% 3.2% 6.2% 8.3% 16.1% 21.4% 39.1%
Alexander Katsis 4.7% 9.6% 12.3% 14.1% 19.8% 18.4% 11.5% 5.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.