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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.92+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of Tennessee-0.02+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.47vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.67+0.29vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.83-0.93vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.73+3.03vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-1.35+1.23vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.15-0.15vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-0.64-2.12vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-2.33-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.50-6.26vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-3.47-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49College of Charleston2.920.7%1st Place
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5.74University of Tennessee-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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4.29Duke University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.07Georgia Institute of Technology0.830.1%1st Place
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9.03Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.23Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
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7.85North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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6.88Vanderbilt University-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.91Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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4.74University of South Carolina0.500.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Georgia-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhone Findlay | 65.6% | 24.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Hill | 2.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Jones | 6.8% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Sipp | 5.8% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Sparkman | 8.2% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Rylance | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 25.1% | 21.3% | 7.4% |
| Ryan Welch | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 3.7% |
| Jack Cummings | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Shane Selig | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 35.7% | 17.5% |
| Alex Myers | 5.7% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Post | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 16.4% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.