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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.17vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+7.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.51vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.30+7.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+3.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+1.79vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.52vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.90+0.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+2.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.09-3.38vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54+2.53vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-2.20vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-4.16vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.17-7.93vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.89-7.85vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.58-7.10vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.49-7.83vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut2.59-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.15College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.04Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.0Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.11Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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15.53Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.15Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.9Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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11.17Boston College3.490.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 28.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| John Stokes | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| John Giuliano | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.