← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rhone Findlay 65.7% 23.7% 7.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Sipp 5.2% 15.5% 18.7% 17.7% 14.6% 12.2% 9.2% 4.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Hill 4.5% 6.3% 9.2% 11.4% 13.0% 16.3% 13.6% 15.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack Sparkman 7.5% 17.3% 17.9% 16.5% 16.2% 11.9% 8.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jones 6.2% 14.0% 16.9% 17.5% 15.4% 11.6% 9.4% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Myers 6.0% 11.9% 15.6% 14.6% 15.9% 14.9% 10.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Shane Selig 2.2% 4.7% 5.9% 7.3% 8.4% 10.9% 16.0% 15.8% 13.9% 10.2% 4.1% 0.6%
Shawn Majzlik 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 3.0% 2.6% 4.1% 6.5% 11.2% 14.7% 36.9% 17.8%
Jack Cummings 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 4.1% 5.8% 8.2% 13.1% 16.5% 19.5% 17.4% 7.7% 2.1%
Ryan Welch 0.7% 2.3% 2.8% 4.9% 3.3% 6.4% 9.2% 13.6% 20.2% 21.7% 11.5% 3.4%
Jennifer Post 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 5.9% 15.1% 70.1%
Cameron Rylance 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 3.2% 3.8% 6.0% 11.1% 16.4% 24.6% 23.6% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.