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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.92+0.49vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.67+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Tennessee-0.02+2.69vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.83+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.50-1.33vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-0.64-0.16vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-2.33+1.88vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.15-1.09vs Predicted
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10Davidson College-1.35-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.47+0.29vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.73-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49College of Charleston2.920.7%1st Place
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4.31Duke University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Tennessee-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.1Georgia Institute of Technology0.830.1%1st Place
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4.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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4.67University of South Carolina0.500.1%1st Place
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6.84Vanderbilt University-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.88Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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7.91North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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8.28Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Georgia-3.470.0%1st Place
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9.09Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhone Findlay | 65.7% | 23.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Sipp | 5.2% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Hill | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Sparkman | 7.5% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 6.2% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Myers | 6.0% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shane Selig | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 36.9% | 17.8% |
| Jack Cummings | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Welch | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Post | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 15.1% | 70.1% |
| Cameron Rylance | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 24.6% | 23.6% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.