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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.92+0.37vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.79vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.74+0.59vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+4.01vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.67-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Tennessee-0.02-1.14vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-1.35+0.06vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-2.33+0.80vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.19-0.43vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-1.15-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.47-0.40vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-3.71-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37College of Charleston2.920.7%1st Place
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3.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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3.59Clemson University0.740.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.77Duke University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Tennessee-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.06Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.8Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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8.57University of South Carolina-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.73North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Georgia-3.470.0%1st Place
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10.86Vanderbilt University-3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhone Findlay | 72.0% | 20.5% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 5.5% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 8.4% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| John Sipp | 7.1% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Hill | 3.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Welch | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Hamberger | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 24.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Jack Cummings | 1.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Post | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 33.2% | 37.3% |
| Elliot Taillon | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 25.7% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.