Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eric Anderson 20.9% 17.6% 16.8% 12.3% 10.6% 9.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 18.2% 15.5% 15.4% 13.6% 9.7% 9.6% 6.9% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 4.9% 5.7% 7.9% 7.6% 8.9% 8.9% 9.8% 11.6% 12.2% 8.7% 8.1% 4.2% 1.5%
Connor Oursler 9.8% 10.8% 10.9% 11.2% 9.3% 12.0% 10.2% 8.7% 8.2% 4.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Vincent Yannelli 11.5% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 10.1% 10.6% 9.0% 9.8% 7.0% 4.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Donal Ryan 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.8% 10.1% 10.5% 10.4% 9.1% 8.8% 7.6% 4.0% 1.0%
Kimberly Morecraft 11.7% 12.3% 11.5% 10.6% 12.7% 9.5% 8.8% 9.0% 6.5% 4.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Haley Kachmar 7.1% 7.8% 6.8% 7.8% 10.8% 9.4% 11.2% 9.8% 10.0% 9.6% 6.5% 2.7% 0.5%
Kimberly Jackman 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 9.6% 11.5% 24.4% 28.2%
Joshua Mandelbaum 2.1% 3.3% 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 6.6% 7.5% 10.1% 14.0% 14.5% 16.4% 11.1%
Kelsey Delosh 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 2.1% 1.8% 3.0% 2.9% 4.5% 7.8% 11.0% 20.9% 42.9%
Nathaniel Barton 2.3% 3.6% 2.7% 5.3% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 8.0% 11.8% 12.6% 15.6% 12.6% 8.4%
Lillian Vincens 2.2% 3.4% 3.2% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 7.8% 9.5% 10.2% 13.8% 14.9% 12.1% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.