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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.45+2.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.26+7.52vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+5.23vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+0.02vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.33+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77-1.85vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.22-1.34vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University0.55-0.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-5.67vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.78vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.29-6.31vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.64-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.03Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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10.52University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.23Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.66Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.6Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.69Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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8.49Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Anderson | 20.5% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 17.6% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 27.4% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 10.7% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Haley Kachmar | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bayard Lalor | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 6.7% |
| Connor Oursler | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 20.2% | 44.9% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.