Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eric Anderson 21.9% 16.0% 18.0% 11.6% 10.3% 8.9% 6.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 9.5% 10.9% 10.7% 11.7% 11.2% 11.3% 9.4% 7.9% 7.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Macklin Fluehr 17.8% 16.8% 12.7% 13.4% 10.5% 10.2% 8.4% 4.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Donal Ryan 5.3% 7.4% 7.4% 8.8% 9.7% 8.8% 9.8% 10.9% 10.8% 8.9% 7.1% 4.0% 1.1%
Kimberly Morecraft 11.5% 13.6% 10.8% 10.6% 10.9% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 6.6% 4.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Vincent Yannelli 11.8% 8.8% 12.4% 11.0% 11.8% 10.5% 10.5% 7.8% 6.2% 4.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Kelsey Delosh 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 5.2% 6.4% 10.4% 18.2% 46.2%
Nathaniel Barton 2.8% 4.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.2% 6.2% 8.7% 7.9% 10.7% 14.0% 15.7% 13.1% 5.3%
Kimberly Jackman 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 7.3% 14.4% 24.0% 28.0%
Joshua Mandelbaum 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 3.8% 3.4% 4.8% 4.8% 8.5% 8.9% 13.0% 14.6% 18.5% 11.3%
Lillian Vincens 3.1% 3.4% 4.4% 6.3% 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 11.2% 11.2% 12.1% 13.3% 10.9% 4.7%
Haley Kachmar 6.5% 5.9% 7.1% 9.3% 9.4% 8.0% 9.6% 10.9% 12.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.7% 1.3%
Bayard Lalor 4.8% 6.7% 7.4% 5.9% 9.1% 9.9% 10.1% 10.7% 9.5% 12.1% 8.3% 4.1% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.