Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Macklin Fluehr 18.5% 16.1% 15.1% 12.5% 10.5% 10.3% 6.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 19.3% 20.5% 16.1% 11.9% 10.8% 7.7% 5.8% 4.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Kimberly Morecraft 10.6% 10.8% 13.3% 10.0% 10.8% 10.6% 10.6% 8.8% 6.0% 5.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Connor Oursler 9.9% 11.1% 9.7% 11.4% 11.2% 10.4% 9.3% 10.2% 7.6% 5.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5%
Donal Ryan 7.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 8.2% 10.8% 9.4% 9.3% 12.3% 8.3% 7.1% 4.0% 0.6%
Lillian Vincens 3.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 6.2% 7.9% 6.9% 6.9% 12.2% 14.1% 13.6% 11.5% 5.3%
Vincent Yannelli 11.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.5% 10.9% 10.4% 9.9% 11.2% 5.8% 4.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Kimberly Jackman 1.2% 2.5% 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 3.6% 3.5% 5.9% 9.7% 14.3% 24.7% 25.7%
Joshua Mandelbaum 2.4% 3.1% 2.3% 3.9% 4.1% 4.4% 5.9% 6.8% 8.7% 12.6% 15.8% 19.2% 10.8%
Kelsey Delosh 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.9% 2.3% 4.0% 6.3% 11.2% 16.5% 48.4%
Nathaniel Barton 3.3% 2.5% 4.0% 6.1% 6.1% 4.9% 6.9% 10.4% 11.3% 12.8% 13.6% 12.1% 6.0%
Haley Kachmar 6.3% 5.8% 7.2% 10.0% 7.1% 9.8% 10.4% 10.8% 11.7% 8.6% 7.8% 2.9% 1.6%
Bayard Lalor 4.5% 6.3% 7.4% 7.0% 9.1% 8.7% 11.7% 10.7% 9.8% 10.5% 8.1% 5.5% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.