Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Macklin Fluehr 17.7% 15.8% 14.8% 14.3% 10.5% 9.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Eric Anderson 21.2% 17.8% 16.7% 12.0% 11.3% 7.8% 5.4% 4.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Kimberly Morecraft 9.4% 12.2% 12.2% 11.5% 9.5% 10.9% 11.7% 8.2% 6.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Connor Oursler 9.7% 11.3% 9.3% 13.1% 10.8% 10.7% 8.6% 9.3% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.5%
Donal Ryan 7.0% 7.8% 7.2% 8.1% 10.1% 8.9% 8.7% 11.3% 10.8% 9.0% 6.9% 3.2% 1.0%
Bayard Lalor 6.8% 5.9% 6.8% 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 10.9% 10.7% 10.1% 8.5% 7.9% 4.9% 1.0%
Vincent Yannelli 11.5% 11.3% 10.5% 9.7% 12.0% 11.7% 9.1% 9.2% 7.4% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Haley Kachmar 6.6% 6.8% 8.5% 8.1% 9.0% 9.5% 12.5% 9.4% 11.0% 9.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8%
Nathaniel Barton 2.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 5.4% 4.4% 6.8% 9.5% 10.3% 14.0% 15.3% 13.6% 6.3%
Lillian Vincens 3.8% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 8.0% 7.7% 8.7% 10.9% 13.7% 12.6% 11.4% 6.4%
Kelsey Delosh 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.8% 5.3% 6.4% 11.5% 21.0% 42.9%
Joshua Mandelbaum 1.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.7% 3.5% 4.8% 6.4% 6.6% 9.0% 12.5% 16.2% 18.1% 11.7%
Kimberly Jackman 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 2.6% 5.4% 6.2% 9.0% 15.2% 22.5% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.