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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University2.28+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.77+2.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45-0.29vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.33+1.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-0.73vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.22-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-2.92vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.29-3.47vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.26-2.61vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.64-5.82vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University0.55-6.27vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.71Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.18Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.73Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.36Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 18.0% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 20.2% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Oursler | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bayard Lalor | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 47.7% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 25.7% | 25.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.