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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Yale University2.45+1.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.22+3.28vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-0.34vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.63+2.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-1.17vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.29-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.86vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.75-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77-5.12vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.27-2.18vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-3.42vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University0.55-4.79vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.26-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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6.28Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.66Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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7.91Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.99Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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8.82Fairfield University0.270.0%1st Place
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8.58Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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8.21Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Anderson | 23.5% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 19.6% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Connor Oursler | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 42.7% |
| Jamws Gieseke | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.