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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.09+7.53vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+4.27vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+11.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.74vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17+1.57vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89+1.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98+0.04vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.93-0.61vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.90-1.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+1.79vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-0.67vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-1.69vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.27vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-4.97vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University4.71-11.11vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.58-6.91vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut2.59-3.82vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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15.44Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.31Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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13.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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12.31Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.09Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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15.18University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Hayes | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 27.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| John Stokes | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Colin Smith | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| John Giuliano | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 24.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.