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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.75+5.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.77+0.88vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.29+0.98vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.22+0.18vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+1.58vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.26+1.03vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University0.55-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-2.04vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.27-5.36vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.63-7.00vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-10.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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3.35Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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5.98Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.18Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.58Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.14Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.64Fairfield University0.270.0%1st Place
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8.0Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 20.5% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jamws Gieseke | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 24.2% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Donal Ryan | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 23.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 44.0% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Connor Oursler | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.