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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+2.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.75+3.61vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.29+1.12vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.22+0.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-3.20vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University0.55-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.26+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.63-4.33vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-5.11vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.27-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.31Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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6.12Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.16Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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8.03Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.67Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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8.89Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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8.99Fairfield University0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 20.9% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 23.2% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jamws Gieseke | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Bayard Lalor | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Oursler | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 23.6% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 42.7% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 10.4% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.