Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jamws Gieseke 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 7.0% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4% 10.4% 7.1% 2.8%
Eric Anderson 24.0% 19.1% 19.0% 12.7% 8.7% 7.0% 5.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 18.6% 19.6% 14.6% 13.5% 13.1% 9.5% 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.8% 5.0% 5.4% 6.8% 9.4% 18.2% 44.0%
Connor Oursler 12.1% 13.8% 12.0% 11.8% 11.3% 10.4% 10.2% 7.5% 5.2% 3.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Vincent Yannelli 12.2% 12.6% 12.0% 13.6% 12.0% 10.4% 8.0% 7.6% 5.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Donal Ryan 8.6% 6.1% 10.3% 9.7% 10.0% 11.6% 9.7% 10.1% 8.8% 7.7% 4.7% 1.8% 0.9%
Bayard Lalor 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% 9.2% 9.9% 11.9% 10.7% 10.4% 10.1% 7.0% 4.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Thomas Beardsley 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 7.8% 8.1% 11.6% 12.0% 13.7% 14.5% 10.2%
Joshua Mandelbaum 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 5.8% 8.1% 8.5% 11.1% 10.9% 13.3% 14.9% 8.7%
Kimberly Jackman 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 5.0% 6.7% 7.9% 10.1% 14.6% 18.5% 22.3%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.2% 3.7% 4.6% 6.5% 6.9% 6.7% 9.1% 9.6% 10.7% 12.5% 11.1% 11.2% 4.2%
Nathaniel Barton 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 12.1% 13.4% 10.2% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.