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📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+3.29vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.83+4.30vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.05+2.72vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.93+2.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.48+2.12vs Predicted
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72.16-3.94vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.37-4.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.23-2.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.16-3.88vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-3.27vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.43-4.13vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.24-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Northeastern University1.590.2%1st Place
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6.3McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.72Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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6.06Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University0.480.1%1st Place
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3.062.160.3%1st Place
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8.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Vermont1.370.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.87Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.41Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Gregory | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Lafrance-Berger | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sam Simonds | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caden Buckley | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma Davis | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Sam Rush | 28.0% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| John Gumbleton | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 22.6% |
| Erin Godfrey | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 25.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.