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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.23+6.97vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.05+3.70vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+5.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.59+0.28vs Predicted
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52.16-1.96vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.93-0.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.16+1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.37-3.26vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.24-0.72vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.83-4.72vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.48-5.90vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.43-4.14vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Brown University0.230.0%1st Place
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5.7Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.28Northeastern University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.042.160.3%1st Place
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5.97Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Vermont1.370.1%1st Place
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9.28Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.28McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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9.86Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Keefe | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Sam Simonds | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.4% |
| Evan Gregory | 15.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 27.9% | 23.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Buckley | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| John Gumbleton | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Samantha Brown | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.0% |
| Nathan Lafrance-Berger | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Emma Davis | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Erin Godfrey | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 24.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.