Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Evan Gregory 15.1% 15.9% 14.3% 12.7% 11.4% 9.9% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sam Rush 27.6% 22.3% 17.3% 12.3% 7.0% 6.7% 2.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Lafrance-Berger 5.7% 7.0% 9.6% 9.0% 11.0% 9.0% 10.3% 11.2% 8.5% 7.6% 5.5% 4.0% 1.6%
Sam Simonds 7.9% 9.2% 9.8% 11.7% 11.6% 9.5% 10.8% 8.6% 8.4% 6.0% 3.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Samantha Brown 13.3% 12.7% 12.6% 11.8% 11.8% 10.4% 10.2% 6.8% 3.6% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
John Gumbleton 4.5% 2.4% 5.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 8.0% 9.0% 10.4% 12.5% 11.1% 10.9% 6.8%
Emma Davis 6.4% 5.5% 6.0% 7.3% 7.1% 7.8% 10.3% 8.3% 11.6% 9.8% 9.0% 7.4% 3.5%
Kelsey Martins 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.8% 8.8% 9.6% 11.0% 13.8% 11.6% 11.7%
Sean O'Keefe 3.9% 4.6% 4.1% 5.8% 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% 9.4% 9.6% 10.2% 11.1% 10.4% 8.2%
Abe Kipnis 2.8% 3.7% 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 5.2% 5.7% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 13.1% 15.3% 18.3%
Martin Hooker 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 6.3% 3.3% 7.2% 8.5% 9.3% 12.1% 17.6% 22.4%
Erin Godfrey 1.5% 2.4% 2.2% 3.7% 3.5% 4.4% 5.3% 5.6% 6.9% 10.0% 11.9% 17.0% 25.6%
Caden Buckley 6.3% 8.9% 8.4% 9.5% 10.8% 10.2% 10.6% 9.1% 10.7% 7.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.