Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Evan Gregory 15.7% 15.2% 12.2% 13.4% 13.7% 8.7% 8.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Sam Rush 27.5% 21.9% 16.5% 12.4% 9.1% 5.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Caden Buckley 6.4% 8.3% 10.3% 10.0% 9.7% 10.3% 9.9% 10.4% 9.3% 6.8% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3%
Samantha Brown 12.0% 12.1% 13.0% 12.2% 12.0% 10.1% 8.5% 8.7% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.5%
Abe Kipnis 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 4.4% 6.3% 5.4% 7.6% 7.3% 10.9% 13.4% 17.6% 14.5%
Emma Davis 6.0% 4.3% 6.8% 8.2% 6.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 8.7% 7.9% 3.3%
Nathan Lafrance-Berger 8.7% 7.5% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 11.6% 9.6% 8.3% 10.5% 6.8% 6.0% 3.9% 1.3%
Sam Simonds 8.3% 10.2% 10.4% 10.6% 10.5% 9.7% 12.0% 9.1% 7.2% 5.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Kelsey Martins 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 4.9% 5.5% 4.9% 6.6% 8.3% 8.8% 13.8% 13.0% 12.2% 12.0%
Sean O'Keefe 4.2% 5.1% 4.6% 5.6% 6.2% 7.6% 9.6% 7.3% 11.0% 12.3% 10.4% 7.5% 8.6%
John Gumbleton 3.2% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 8.0% 6.9% 10.4% 11.4% 10.5% 11.0% 9.3% 7.0%
Martin Hooker 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.0% 4.6% 3.7% 5.0% 5.6% 7.4% 8.8% 11.3% 19.1% 26.6%
Erin Godfrey 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 4.8% 5.4% 7.6% 7.2% 9.1% 13.6% 17.1% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.