← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.00+2.93vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.20+1.47vs Predicted
-
3McGill University0.83+3.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.37+0.49vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.93+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.30vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.05-1.83vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.59-4.15vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.88vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-4.54vs Predicted
-
12Wesleyan University-0.32-2.33vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut-0.48-2.72vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University-1.06-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93University of Rhode Island2.000.2%1st Place
-
3.47Brown University2.200.2%1st Place
-
6.96McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.49University of Vermont1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.53Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
-
6.7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
-
6.17Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
-
4.85Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
-
9.12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
-
6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
-
9.67Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
-
10.28University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
11.36Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Tougas | 18.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Housberg | 21.8% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lafrance-Berger | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Brown | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Caden Buckley | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Sam Simonds | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Evan Gregory | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 10.0% |
| Daniel Winter | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Henry Bushnell | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 14.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 25.3% | 22.2% |
| Katherine Fox | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.