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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.20+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.00+1.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+3.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.59+0.88vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.05+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.37-0.68vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.93-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+1.00vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.16vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.83-3.15vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.06+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.48-1.73vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.32-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Brown University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.93University of Rhode Island2.000.2%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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4.88Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.23Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont1.370.1%1st Place
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6.51Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.84Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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6.85McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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11.19Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.97Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Housberg | 22.4% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Tougas | 18.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Winter | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Evan Gregory | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Simonds | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Brown | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
| Benjamin Eley | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Lafrance-Berger | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 43.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 23.2% |
| Henry Bushnell | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 21.3% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.