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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+3.85vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.37+3.34vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.05+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.00-0.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.20-1.57vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+0.58vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.93-0.67vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.83-1.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-3.87vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.41vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.32-2.49vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.06-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Vermont1.370.1%1st Place
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6.11Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Rhode Island2.000.2%1st Place
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3.43Brown University2.200.2%1st Place
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6.58Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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6.33Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.59McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.51Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.67Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Gregory | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Brown | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Simonds | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Camden Tougas | 17.0% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 24.2% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Caden Buckley | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Lafrance-Berger | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Winter | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 12.8% |
| Henry Bushnell | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 28.6% | 23.3% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 20.3% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.