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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+8.15vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+7.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+12.40vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.97vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.66vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43+1.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56+4.52vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+3.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.49vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-3.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+2.60vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.58-0.72vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.77vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.89-6.48vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-4.84vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.93-8.56vs Predicted
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19Harvard University4.17-10.80vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut2.59-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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15.4Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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13.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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11.28Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.52Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.16Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.44College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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15.34University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 29.3% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| John Stokes | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| John Giuliano | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.