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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nathan Housberg 21.8% 19.1% 17.1% 13.9% 10.3% 6.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Brown 8.9% 10.9% 10.6% 10.9% 13.2% 10.3% 9.6% 11.4% 6.6% 5.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Evan Gregory 13.8% 10.3% 13.6% 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 11.3% 7.4% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Benjamin Eley 4.9% 6.3% 8.3% 7.4% 9.9% 9.5% 10.8% 11.6% 10.8% 11.5% 6.7% 2.3%
Caden Buckley 6.2% 7.4% 6.4% 8.8% 10.0% 9.1% 10.7% 10.7% 13.2% 8.9% 6.3% 2.3%
Sam Simonds 7.7% 8.0% 7.9% 6.9% 9.4% 11.3% 10.9% 12.0% 11.9% 7.6% 5.1% 1.3%
Camden Tougas 19.2% 19.6% 14.1% 13.0% 10.5% 7.6% 7.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Daniel Winter 7.8% 7.2% 7.9% 9.3% 8.3% 10.9% 9.4% 11.1% 10.7% 11.4% 3.6% 2.4%
Nathan Lafrance-Berger 5.3% 5.2% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 11.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.7% 11.0% 6.8% 1.1%
Henry Bushnell 1.7% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 6.0% 10.9% 14.1% 26.2% 21.6%
Kelsey Martins 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 4.8% 4.2% 5.6% 5.8% 8.0% 12.1% 17.1% 21.7% 14.3%
Katherine Fox 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.4% 4.5% 8.3% 20.2% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.