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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.20+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.37+3.30vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+1.71vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+2.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.93+1.45vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.05+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.00-3.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.77vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.83-3.48vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.32-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.19vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.06-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Brown University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.3University of Vermont1.370.1%1st Place
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4.71Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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6.45Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island2.000.2%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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6.52McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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9.3Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.66Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Housberg | 21.8% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Evan Gregory | 13.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Eley | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Caden Buckley | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Sam Simonds | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Camden Tougas | 19.2% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Winter | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Lafrance-Berger | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Henry Bushnell | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 26.2% | 21.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 21.7% | 14.3% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.