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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island2.00+1.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.20+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.37+1.28vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59-0.26vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.05+0.15vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.83-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.58vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-3.83vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.93-4.63vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.32-2.50vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.06-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Rhode Island2.000.2%1st Place
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3.41Brown University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Vermont1.370.1%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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6.72McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.48Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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6.37Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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9.5Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.69Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Tougas | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 22.5% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 11.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Evan Gregory | 10.5% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sam Simonds | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Lafrance-Berger | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 12.5% |
| Benjamin Eley | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Winter | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Caden Buckley | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Henry Bushnell | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 26.3% | 23.7% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 20.2% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.