Race 1A

south-points-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kelly Stukbauer 5.9% 6.4% 8.4% 7.6% 9.0% 9.3% 11.5% 14.7% 15.2% 12.0%
Sophie Salomon 6.3% 4.8% 6.0% 7.1% 8.5% 11.0% 11.4% 13.1% 18.7% 13.1%
Curtis Woodworth 13.3% 12.0% 13.2% 12.5% 14.0% 12.8% 8.5% 7.1% 4.7% 1.9%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 25.5% 22.3% 15.0% 14.3% 9.3% 6.7% 3.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 6.1% 6.7% 9.0% 6.6% 9.6% 8.7% 12.6% 15.8% 13.5% 11.4%
Peter Hidley 12.0% 10.3% 11.1% 13.3% 11.9% 11.4% 12.3% 8.8% 5.6% 3.3%
Jack Famiglietti 13.0% 15.5% 17.0% 14.2% 11.5% 11.6% 8.1% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4%
Samuel Peirson 9.7% 12.9% 10.9% 10.7% 13.2% 11.6% 10.6% 10.2% 6.6% 3.6%
Dean Nixon 6.1% 6.2% 6.7% 9.3% 8.9% 10.2% 13.1% 13.9% 14.6% 11.0%
Toby Perelmuter 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 4.4% 4.1% 6.7% 8.1% 9.8% 16.9% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.