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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.20+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.26+4.31vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+0.16vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.82+1.01vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.87-0.15vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08-1.66vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.25-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.39-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.23-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Florida2.200.2%1st Place
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6.31University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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3.16Eckerd College2.720.2%1st Place
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5.01Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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4.85Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.34Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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6.56Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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6.35University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Famiglietti | 16.5% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 23.9% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Peirson | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Peter Hidley | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 15.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.7% |
| Dean Nixon | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10.9% |
| Toby Perelmuter | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 42.5% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.