Race 3A

south-points-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Famiglietti 16.2% 16.4% 14.7% 12.7% 10.5% 11.4% 8.0% 4.7% 3.4% 2.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 26.1% 19.4% 17.3% 13.0% 10.9% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.5% 6.0% 7.4% 7.3% 7.9% 9.4% 12.2% 16.1% 15.9% 12.3%
Peter Hidley 9.8% 11.0% 12.3% 14.1% 12.4% 12.4% 10.7% 8.5% 6.3% 2.5%
Samuel Peirson 10.9% 10.1% 10.2% 13.8% 12.3% 12.9% 12.0% 8.3% 5.9% 3.6%
Dean Nixon 6.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 7.6% 11.8% 12.7% 13.4% 15.1% 11.3%
Curtis Woodworth 11.6% 15.4% 13.6% 12.4% 14.0% 11.7% 8.9% 6.1% 4.4% 1.9%
Sophie Salomon 4.8% 6.1% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 8.9% 13.1% 15.0% 16.0% 12.6%
Giancarlo Falconi 6.1% 5.7% 7.3% 8.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.9% 14.4% 14.7% 11.8%
Toby Perelmuter 2.6% 2.9% 2.6% 3.0% 5.8% 5.2% 7.3% 11.2% 17.5% 41.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.