Race 4A

south-points-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Karl Rasmus Sayre 27.8% 21.6% 16.6% 9.7% 10.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.6%
Jack Famiglietti 14.2% 15.8% 14.0% 14.0% 11.7% 11.8% 7.4% 6.6% 3.6% 0.9%
Peter Hidley 11.6% 9.9% 10.6% 11.0% 13.1% 14.0% 11.8% 8.0% 7.6% 2.4%
Dean Nixon 4.4% 6.3% 8.0% 9.4% 8.1% 11.4% 13.4% 13.4% 14.5% 11.1%
Curtis Woodworth 13.3% 13.8% 14.2% 14.0% 12.3% 10.8% 9.5% 6.0% 4.4% 1.7%
Samuel Peirson 11.2% 11.8% 10.4% 13.0% 12.3% 10.6% 10.5% 10.4% 6.6% 3.2%
Toby Perelmuter 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 4.5% 4.8% 5.6% 7.5% 10.8% 17.9% 42.4%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.2% 6.0% 9.0% 8.2% 8.3% 10.9% 11.9% 15.6% 13.3% 11.6%
Sophie Salomon 5.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.2% 9.5% 9.1% 10.5% 13.7% 17.9% 13.4%
Giancarlo Falconi 4.9% 7.5% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 10.1% 13.1% 13.2% 13.8% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.