Race 5A

south-points-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Giancarlo Falconi 6.6% 6.9% 6.8% 7.6% 10.5% 9.9% 11.4% 14.2% 15.4% 10.7%
Dean Nixon 6.4% 6.1% 7.4% 6.3% 9.5% 11.0% 13.0% 13.4% 15.4% 11.5%
Jack Famiglietti 14.0% 14.9% 14.1% 14.4% 12.3% 10.5% 8.9% 6.0% 3.9% 1.0%
Peter Hidley 10.9% 9.6% 13.4% 12.1% 13.6% 12.7% 9.2% 9.0% 6.9% 2.6%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 26.6% 21.8% 16.8% 13.7% 8.0% 5.7% 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Toby Perelmuter 2.5% 3.6% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 5.2% 7.7% 10.3% 15.4% 44.0%
Kelly Stukbauer 4.3% 6.1% 6.2% 8.3% 10.1% 11.2% 13.3% 14.5% 15.0% 11.0%
Sophie Salomon 4.7% 6.2% 7.2% 8.7% 7.9% 9.2% 11.7% 13.9% 16.7% 13.8%
Samuel Peirson 11.0% 10.2% 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 12.8% 11.7% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4%
Curtis Woodworth 13.0% 14.6% 13.7% 12.5% 11.9% 11.8% 9.3% 7.6% 3.9% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.