Race 6A

south-points-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Famiglietti 16.5% 15.3% 15.5% 12.7% 10.7% 10.7% 8.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.7%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 26.2% 19.4% 17.0% 12.9% 10.7% 7.0% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 10.1% 11.2% 10.8% 11.3% 12.8% 13.1% 12.3% 8.6% 7.0% 2.8%
Giancarlo Falconi 4.2% 6.2% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 10.4% 12.5% 13.9% 15.1% 10.8%
Sophie Salomon 6.2% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 7.3% 9.0% 12.0% 16.3% 15.4% 13.6%
Dean Nixon 6.6% 6.4% 7.4% 7.4% 8.8% 11.3% 12.2% 12.9% 15.8% 11.2%
Curtis Woodworth 11.2% 15.4% 12.7% 14.9% 14.0% 10.4% 9.7% 6.1% 4.1% 1.5%
Samuel Peirson 10.6% 11.9% 10.7% 12.4% 12.3% 11.5% 10.0% 10.4% 6.2% 4.0%
Kelly Stukbauer 6.0% 5.6% 7.4% 8.1% 9.7% 9.2% 13.0% 14.0% 14.9% 12.1%
Toby Perelmuter 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.7% 4.4% 7.4% 6.5% 10.7% 16.7% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.