Race 7A

south-points-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Karl Rasmus Sayre 26.9% 22.7% 17.0% 10.0% 10.2% 6.8% 3.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Jack Famiglietti 14.5% 15.5% 14.2% 14.3% 13.9% 9.9% 8.0% 6.0% 3.2% 0.5%
Peter Hidley 12.2% 9.8% 10.8% 12.1% 12.5% 15.3% 10.7% 8.7% 6.9% 1.0%
Dean Nixon 4.7% 7.0% 7.8% 9.3% 9.3% 10.9% 14.1% 14.3% 17.2% 5.4%
Sophie Salomon 5.7% 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 10.0% 13.5% 16.1% 17.6% 7.6%
Curtis Woodworth 14.4% 12.3% 14.8% 14.4% 12.3% 10.8% 10.0% 6.6% 3.7% 0.7%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.0% 5.9% 8.4% 6.9% 10.2% 11.3% 13.8% 17.0% 15.4% 6.1%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.4% 7.1% 8.2% 9.8% 8.2% 9.7% 13.5% 15.6% 17.4% 5.1%
Samuel Peirson 10.2% 12.0% 11.0% 13.2% 13.0% 12.6% 10.5% 8.9% 6.9% 1.7%
Paul Grisko 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 5.3% 10.6% 71.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.