Race 8A

south-points-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kelly Stukbauer 6.1% 6.7% 7.7% 8.8% 7.5% 10.5% 14.1% 15.8% 16.7% 6.1%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 26.2% 21.4% 16.8% 12.0% 10.6% 6.1% 4.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Jack Famiglietti 14.7% 14.6% 14.9% 13.1% 13.9% 11.9% 7.9% 6.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Dean Nixon 4.9% 6.3% 8.2% 9.2% 9.7% 12.0% 12.8% 15.5% 16.8% 4.6%
Samuel Peirson 11.2% 11.1% 11.7% 11.4% 13.7% 12.4% 10.8% 7.5% 8.4% 1.8%
Curtis Woodworth 15.2% 13.6% 13.0% 15.0% 11.8% 11.1% 9.7% 7.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Paul Grisko 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 2.1% 3.4% 2.1% 5.3% 11.0% 72.4%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.7% 6.5% 8.2% 8.7% 9.1% 11.0% 14.9% 14.7% 16.4% 4.8%
Sophie Salomon 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 8.2% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 17.4% 18.4% 7.6%
Peter Hidley 9.5% 13.3% 12.2% 12.4% 12.0% 11.4% 12.9% 8.3% 6.8% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.