← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.93+3.73vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.21vs Predicted
-
3Santa Clara University1.42+6.77vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington2.25+2.51vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+7.31vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis0.45+6.99vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.31+2.95vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.92-3.54vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.13vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.74-2.46vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+4.50vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+1.13vs Predicted
-
14California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.31vs Predicted
-
15Santa Barbara City College1.61-6.37vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington1.11-5.40vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine1.06-6.05vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley1.62-9.11vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-12.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.73University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
9.77Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.51University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
-
12.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
-
9.95University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
-
4.46University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
8.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
12.69California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.54University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
16.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
14.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
12.69California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.63Santa Barbara City College1.610.1%1st Place
-
10.6University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.89University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
6.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 15.7% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 59.4% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Long | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.