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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+6.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+6.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+6.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+5.21vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90+4.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.06vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+2.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36+2.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.19vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54+4.47vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.32vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-4.35vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.58-3.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-1.56vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.30-3.70vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.93-7.81vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.56-6.78vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-8.16vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut2.59-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.73Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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15.47Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.98Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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13.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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12.3Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 27.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| John Giuliano | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.