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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.89+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.42-0.31vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.31+6.15vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.63+3.28vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56+2.71vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.59+1.64vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.07-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.42+0.58vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.90-2.38vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.29vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20+2.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-1.84vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria0.74-6.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-4.91vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.30-3.89vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley1.48-12.12vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine0.08-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Berkeley1.890.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Hawaii2.420.2%1st Place
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9.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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11.71California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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11.64Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Washington0.420.0%1st Place
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10.62University of British Columbia0.900.0%1st Place
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11.71California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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17.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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15.11University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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13.86University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginger Luckey | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 16.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ezra Boyer | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.