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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.92vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+7.24vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+8.79vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.42+0.73vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.56+6.78vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.74+5.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-3.09vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.90+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.89-3.54vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.56+0.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.30+3.25vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.63-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+0.22vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20+2.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.31-3.22vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.56-5.22vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.08-4.43vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-5.64vs Predicted
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20University of Washington1.07-10.42vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley1.48-12.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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9.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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11.79Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Hawaii2.420.2%1st Place
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11.78California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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10.31University of British Columbia0.900.0%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Berkeley1.890.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Washington0.560.0%1st Place
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15.25University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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14.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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17.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.78California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginger Luckey | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 14.1% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bartels | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.