← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Monterey Bay0.56+10.79vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University0.59+9.68vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.53vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.42+0.73vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.33-0.09vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.56+5.85vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.89-0.34vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.23vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.31+3.78vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria0.74+1.11vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+3.34vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+1.47vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia0.90-2.35vs Predicted
-
14California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.21vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine0.08-1.29vs Predicted
-
16University of Hawaii0.63-4.54vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20+0.57vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-8.94vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Berkeley1.48-10.89vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-0.30-4.95vs Predicted
-
21University of Washington1.07-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.79California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.68Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
5.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
-
4.73University of Hawaii2.420.2%1st Place
-
4.91University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
11.85University of Washington0.560.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of California at Berkeley1.890.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
12.78University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
11.11University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
-
14.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
-
13.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.65University of British Columbia0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.79California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
13.71University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
-
17.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
-
9.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.11University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
-
15.05University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
-
9.77University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schmidt | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bartels | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.