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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.89+2.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.99vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.07+3.82vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.90+3.72vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.21+5.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.31+3.84vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.56+1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.42+1.43vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.74-1.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.69vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.63-3.52vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-1.67vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.56-5.08vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-3.29vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.30-3.66vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.08-6.28vs Predicted
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21University of Hawaii2.42-16.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Berkeley1.890.1%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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10.72University of British Columbia0.900.0%1st Place
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13.1Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.92California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Washington0.420.0%1st Place
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9.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.92California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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14.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Hawaii2.420.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Ezra Boyer | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Johnson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 15.2% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.