Race 1A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marlena Fauer 27.0% 21.7% 18.6% 12.3% 8.5% 7.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Morgan Wilson 17.5% 17.3% 17.0% 15.5% 13.9% 10.2% 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 21.4% 18.9% 17.8% 16.0% 12.2% 8.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Caroline Wilhelm 7.8% 11.3% 11.4% 15.5% 14.0% 14.7% 12.8% 7.5% 3.8% 1.2%
Ryann Hall 5.5% 7.6% 7.5% 7.0% 11.0% 12.5% 18.8% 13.4% 12.3% 4.4%
Heather Richardson 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.4% 6.9% 11.0% 15.1% 25.1% 26.0%
Hillary Paulsen 2.4% 2.7% 4.3% 4.9% 7.2% 10.5% 14.3% 20.3% 20.4% 13.0%
Mary Cummins 4.0% 4.3% 6.6% 8.5% 10.1% 11.2% 14.8% 18.4% 14.8% 7.3%
Marissa Lihan 11.0% 12.0% 12.0% 14.2% 15.3% 13.9% 10.7% 7.8% 2.3% 0.8%
Julie Webster 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 7.4% 11.8% 19.2% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.