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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.42+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.89+3.59vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.21+9.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.07+4.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.74+4.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.19vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+2.41vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.90-1.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.56-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.31-2.14vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.63-4.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine0.08-3.31vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.30-2.71vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-4.20vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.56-7.98vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.56-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of Hawaii2.420.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Berkeley1.890.1%1st Place
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13.32Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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11.43University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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9.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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10.63University of British Columbia0.900.0%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Washington0.560.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.02California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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12.02California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Wilde | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bartels | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.